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Potential pellet demand high for North America
Written by Hakan Ekstrom | Wood Resources International   
Aug. 8, 2011, Seattle WA – A number of new wood pellet plants in Canada and the United States are set to commence operations during 2011, with more plants planned in the coming years. With the additional capacity coming online, the industry is eyeing the growing demand in four regions: Europe, Asia, and to a lesser extent the Maritime Provinces of eastern Canada and Northeastern United States. The existing coal-fired energy sector in the U.S. South remains a potent, yet unrealized market to date.

Federal policies in the United States that restrict CO2 emissions would ultimately benefit the pellet industry in North America, as many coal plants would likely begin using pellets for co-firing, as is the case in Europe. These changes would dramatically alter existing pellet flows and production plans.

Europe has been the largest export market for North American pellet producers for a number of years, receiving nearly 1.5 million tonnes in 2010, as reported in the North American Wood Fiber Review. The most significant potential for increased wood pellet use, both short and long term, will continue to be in this region, as the European Union’s 27 member countries have a goal of sourcing 20% of the EU’s total energy needs with renewable sources by 2020.

In 2008, biomass used in the EU provided 80 million tons of oil equivalents (mtoe). The European Commission estimates that this consumption may increase to 140 mtoe by 2020. In addition, Germany’s recently declared goal to totally eliminate its nuclear power industry by 2022 will increase its demand for renewable energy, including woody biomass. Other countries such as Italy, Finland, Poland, and Switzerland are starting to question the viability of nuclear power as a future source of energy.

Asian demand for biomass energy is finally beginning to emerge and shows signs of significant potential growth. South Korea has recently announced policies to increase the portion of energy consumption from renewable sources, including woody biomass. The country’s new Renewable Portfolio Standard calls for reducing greenhouse gases by 30% by 2020 while concurrently increasing its use of wood pellets to five million tons in 10 years.

Japan’s confidence in nuclear power has continued to plummet since the Fukushima nuclear plant crisis in early 2011, which will likely result in an increase in woody biomass use as a portion of a larger renewable energy portfolio in the next few years.

The growing European and Asian demand for wood bioenergy is being answered by a number of Canadian and U.S. companies already engaged in or moving towards an expanding export market. Besides British Columbia, which has been the major supplier of pellets to Europe, the U.S. South has recently witnessed the opening of a few large pellet plants with plans to ship a majority of their production to European consumers.

There is much uncertainty regarding future energy policies worldwide, but one thing is undeniable: pellet demand in Europe, Asia, and perhaps also in the United States will be experiencing dramatic growth over the next five years.